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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-12-24T02:30:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-12-24T02:30Z
CME Note: An asymmetric, likely O-type CME seen to the north and east in SOHO and STEREO A coronagraphs comprised of a bright bulk directed north and east and a fainter/wider shock which deflects north and west over the central meridian. It is associated with a filament eruption on the Earth facing disk located at approximately N20E28 located to the east of AR3174 and is characterized by liftoff of plasma and subsequent post eruptive arcades and brightening seen in SDO 171/193/304. See DONKI entry "CME 2022-12-24T02:48Z" for this event.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-12-26T20:01Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 47.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.33333 - 5.33333
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 24.80 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-12-25T19:13Z
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